Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 297.100167 337.333727 382.505958 437.269320 502.248437 577.363598 671.458101
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 231.663168 281.867131 343.457284 425.653638 534.134324 674.810931 875.102876
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 205.100550 261.247391 334.364548 438.692636 587.361014 797.495401 1128.294158
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 183.015124 241.418611 321.065638 440.890237 622.630202 898.736251 1373.068423
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 163.107713 221.173481 303.319933 432.325457 638.365743 971.187356 1588.504230
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 149.753893 208.178748 293.637857 433.277742 667.424903 1068.670772 1871.738364
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 136.197106 193.204072 278.901769 423.629170 676.504163 1132.525537 2109.009203
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 126.403253 182.774207 269.749891 421.380208 697.201358 1220.559658 2421.476986
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 114.299007 167.609521 251.458488 401.147287 681.854608 1235.732547 2577.819308
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 111.048009 166.050741 254.914360 418.962849 740.312187 1411.605235 3176.349333
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 109.126264 166.383405 261.415351 442.935689 814.914338 1640.263638 4012.002329
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 103.453755 159.979553 255.662285 443.089038 840.383758 1763.507482 4609.079037
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 96.024873 150.209477 243.416874 429.829250 836.284522 1818.343341 5035.998585
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 89.547048 141.630010 232.620867 418.308064 834.543203 1880.113494 5525.420532
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 87.019529 139.716379 233.752619 431.077460 890.855803 2111.532016 6772.836391
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 83.331248 135.441590 230.058447 433.226092 922.209934 2283.201003 7914.342282
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 78.698640 129.128782 221.937266 424.847483 925.899631 2374.450415 8778.708944
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 75.535230 125.281320 218.251680 425.779116 953.751053 2550.133102 10199.605922
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 71.489953 119.533448 210.367655 416.339170 952.444276 2630.817182 11206.322663
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 68.519546 115.618016 205.843079 414.138665 970.732909 2785.555548 12800.520755
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 63.991734 108.490814 194.320880 394.338724 936.266785 2741.971642 13133.675865
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 63.404145 108.873858 198.208953 411.773319 1012.811303 3140.042052 16949.405473
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 63.326475 110.230380 204.225095 435.227059 1113.081665 3680.883339 22902.519051